What if…
Price financingScenarios
Chance of negative cash · 90 days83%81% probability of negative cash in 19 days (2026-12-30)
P(below buffer)98%
Plan costCLP 2.1M
Saved vs bank loan45%CLP 3.8M
Probability of negative cash · every scenario
Base → scenario
| Metric | Base | Scen |
|---|---|---|
| Chance of negative cash · 90 days | 83% | 83% |
| Crunch date | 2026-12-30 | 2026-12-30 |
| P10 low point | −CLP 54.6M | −CLP 54.6M |
| Plan cost | CLP 2.1M | CLP 2.1M |
Optimizer plan for this scenario
→ Borrow USD 142,400 for 60 days from Pre-export loan in USD (PAE)
Simulation only: nothing here executes. Each scenario is a full 10,000-path Monte Carlo and MILP run of the quant engine.